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Key Information
Asian equities had been greater, Australia and Thailand fell on mild volumes.
Pretty quiet as we head towards China’s Labor Day vacation that has Mainland/onshore China closed Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday and Hong Kong/offshore China closed Monday. Monetary earnings took heart stage as insurance coverage big Ping An rose on excessive volumes +9.02% in Hong Kong (2318 HK) and +10% in China (601318 CH) pushed by a 48.9% rise in web earnings. Insurance coverage peer AIA (1299 HK) rose +1.61% put up good monetary outcomes, although bear in mind AIA is a Hong Kong domiciled firm thus it’s a part of MSCI developed market indices and never MSCI EM nor China.
The extensively held China Retailers Financial institution was off -5.18% in Hong Kong (3968 HK) and -3.52% in China (600036 CH) on blended outcomes whereas China Life Insurance coverage beat, rising +5.14% in Hong Kong (2628 HK) and +6.45% in China (601628 CH). Hong Kong listed web shares had been largely decrease although not considerably with Alibaba HK -1.8%, Tencent -0.92%, Meituan +0.68%, JD.com HK -0.15%, Baidu HK -1.7%, and Kuaishou +1.18%. Chinese language liquor firm ZJLD Group (6979 HK) had its preliminary public providing (IPO) in the present day however fell -17.93%. Nio HK was off on weak weekly gross sales.
Southbound Inventory Join volumes had been mild as Mainland traders targeted on their trip. The sunshine Hong Kong volumes led brief quantity to extend to 19% of whole turnover with brief quantity concentrated in Hong Kong listed ETFs versus particular person shares. Just like Hong Kong, Mainland China was led greater by worth sectors/shares with healthcare gaining +1.84% on chatter of a COVID spike. One other day of revenue taking in highflying ChatGPT, AI, and semis with momentum falling, geopolitical issues on semis, and a few speaking down retail traders enthusiasm for the house. Pretty quiet! March industrial earnings declined -19.2% 12 months over 12 months although the info level was a non-factor thus as our dealer/pal Dave says “if market no care, you no care”.
Geopolitics: “It’s me, hello, I’m the issue”. If you happen to don’t have a teenage daughter like myself you won’t acknowledge the Taylor Swift lyric. There have been 4 deep dive articles from Reuters, Bloomberg, South China Morning Publish, and the Monetary Occasions in the present day on the lackluster efficiency of Chinese language equities regardless of the financial restoration with blame positioned on geopolitical tensions. Ray Dalio posted a reasonably darkish LinkedIn put up on the US-China political tensions although I suppose if you wish to promote a ebook it’s worthwhile to create some controversy. If this argument was true, shouldn’t US multinationals see an analogous impact? At a minimal, shouldn’t we be pricing Taiwanese shares at zero then? Wouldn’t this shortly escalate right into a regional occasion with Japan, South Korea, and Australia pulled in? And but NONE of those markets, together with US multi nationwide corporations (MNCs), are affected by the geopolitical narrative. What the articles miss is the impact of the robust greenback as a headwind on danger belongings together with China. I might agree {that a} US recession is apt to weigh on danger sentiment although the shortage of consideration to the US greenback’s energy is stunning. The secret’s to observe the US greenback. The articles point out the outperformance of onshore/Mainland China versus offshore/Hong Kong-US ADRs which we’ve got been mentioning for a while. They did not level out MSCI China is 80% offshore/Hong Kong-US ADRs with solely a 20% weight to onshore China.
A Chinese language media supply famous the impact of Chinese language advertisers on META’s robust promoting outcomes. Do you discover it ironic that META, which is closely engaged in lobbying to ban TikTok, benefited from Chinese language corporations’ promoting?
The Cling Seng and Cling Seng Tech diverged +0.42% and -0.26% respectively on quantity -0.82% from yesterday which is 80% of the 1-year common. 263 shares superior whereas 215 shares declined. Important Board brief turnover elevated +7.23% from yesterday which is 91% of the 1-year common as 19% of turnover was brief turnover. Worth elements outperformed development as massive caps outperformed small caps. Prime sectors had been financials gaining +1.77%, healthcare up +0.99%, and utilities closing greater +0.98% whereas communication fell -0.84%, staples closed down -0.5%, and discretionary was decrease -0.48%. Prime sub-sectors had been insurance coverage, capital items, and healthcare gear whereas family merchandise, semis, and meals underperformed. Southbound Inventory Join volumes had been mild as Mainland traders purchased $10 million of Hong Kong shares with being Tencent a small web promote, Meituan and Kuiashou being small web buys.
Shanghai, Shenzhen, and STAR Board diverged +0.67%, +0.12%, and -0.09% respectively on quantity -6.8% from yesterday which is 114% of the 1-year common. 2,702 shares superior whereas 1,925 shares declined. Worth elements outperformed development elements as massive caps outperformed small caps. Prime sectors had been healthcare gaining +1.89%, utilities up +1.44%, and industrials closing greater +1.33% whereas communication fell -1.89%, tech was down -1.04%, and power closed decrease -0.1%. Prime sub-sectors had been insurance coverage, healthcare, and chemical business whereas web, laptop {hardware}, and cultural media had been the worst. Northbound Inventory Join volumes had been excessive as overseas traders offered -$10 million of Mainland shares whereas Kweichow Moutai, Longi, and Ping An had been web sells. CNY was flat in a single day versus the US greenback because the Asia greenback index was off barely. Treasury bonds rallied with the 10-Yr Treasury yield falling under 2.8%. Shanghai copper fell whereas metal gained.
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Final Evening’s Efficiency
Final Evening’s Alternate Charges, Costs, & Yields
- CNY per USD 6.92 versus 6.92 yesterday
- CNY per EUR 7.64 versus 7.65 yesterday
- Asia Greenback Index -0.01% in a single day
- Yield on 10-Yr Authorities Bond 2.78% versus 2.80% yesterday
- Yield on 10-Yr China Growth Financial institution Bond 2.96% versus 2.98% yesterday
- Copper Worth -0.49% in a single day
- Metal Worth +0.70% in a single day
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